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The Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission (CRITFC) conducted
a field study at Bonneville Dam in 2008 to assess the age, length-at-age
and stock composition of adult Pacific salmon migrating up the Columbia
River. These data were then used to predict the 2009 Chinook salmon
run. Adult spring, summer and fall Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus
tshawytscha), sockeye salmon (O. nerka) and summer-run
steelhead (O. mykiss) were collected, sampled for scales
and additional biological data, revived and released. Caudal fin
clips were also taken from Chinook salmon and steelhead for later
genetic analysis. Scales were examined to esti¬mate age composition;
the results contributed to an ongoing database for age structure
of Columbia Basin salmon runs. Based on scale pattern analysis four-year-olds
were the most abundant age group for spring Chinook salmon comprising
75.1% of the run. Three-year-olds were the most abundant age class
for fall Chinook and four-year-olds were the most abundant for the
summer Chinook making up 50.9% and 58.6% of their respective runs.
Four-year-olds were the most abundant age group for sockeye salmon
comprising 89.1% of the run, and three and four-year-old were the
most abundant in steelhead comprising 40.4% and 44.6% respectively
of the run. Based on fin marks for classification, the steelhead
migration consisted of 71.7% hatchery- and 28.3% natural-origin
steelhead. A-run steelhead, less than 78cm in length, comprised
73% of the steelhead run. B-run fish, equal to or greater than 78cm,
comprised 27% of the run.
A year-class regression based on up to 19 years of data was used
to predict spring, summer, and bright fall Chinook salmon population
sizes for 2009. Based on three-year-old returns, the relationship
predicts four-year-old returns of 259,500 (± 88,200, 90%
predictive interval [PI]) spring Chinook, 58,700 (± 24,700,
90% PI) summer, and 218,600 (± 67,200, 90% PI) bright fall
Chinook salmon for the 2009 runs. Based on four-year-old returns,
the relationship predicts five-year-old returns of 26,100 (±
38,900, 90% PI) spring 49,700 (± 9,300, 90% PI) summer, and
37,200 (± 46,000, 90% PI) bright fall Chinook salmon for
the 2009 runs.
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