|
The Columbia River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission conducted a field
study at Bonneville Dam in 2007 to assess the age, length-at-age
and stock composition of adult Pacific salmon migrating up the Columbia
River. These data were then used to predict the 2008 Chinook salmon
run. Adult spring, summer and fall Chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus
tshawytscha), sockeye salmon (O. nerka) and summer-run
steelhead (O. mykiss) were collected, sampled for scales
and additional biological data, revived and released. Caudal fin
clips were also taken from Chinook salmon and steelhead for later
genetic analysis. Scales were examined to esti¬mate age composition;
the results contributed to an ongoing database for age structure
of Columbia Basin salmon runs. Based on scale pattern analysis four-year-olds
were the most abundant age group for both spring and fall Chinook
salmon comprising 52.4% and 46.2% of their respective runs. Three-year-olds
were the most abundant age class for summer Chinook making up 37.4%
of the run. Three-year-olds were also the most abundant age group
for sockeye salmon and steelhead comprising 39.9% and 59% of their
respective runs. Based on fin marks for classification, the steelhead
migration consisted of 81.9% hatchery- and 18.1% natural-origin
steelhead. A-run steelhead, less than 78cm in length, comprised
88.9% of the steelhead run. B-run fish, equal to or greater than
78cm, comprised 11.1% of the run.
A year-class regression based on up to 20 years of data was used
to predict spring, summer, and bright fall Chinook salmon population
sizes for 2008. Based on three-year-old returns, the relationship
predicts four-year-old returns of 251,100 (± 65,700, 90%
predictive interval [PI]) spring Chinook, 58,300 (± 26,300,
90% PI) summer, and 90,000 (± 98,800, 90% PI) bright fall
Chinook salmon for the 2008 runs. Based on four-year-old returns,
the relationship predicts five-year-old returns of 16,300 (±
41,000, 90% PI) spring, 11,600 (± 9,000, 90% PI) summer,
and 52,500 (± 41,300, 90% PI) bright fall Chinook salmon
for the 2008 runs.
|